Dog wrote:Ah, that's probably where we diverge.
You think the youth vote flocked to Labour as an anti-Brexit backlash, I think it flocked to Corbyn as a socially liberal, socialist candidate. Labout has been a cosmopolitan, educated, urban party since Blair's New Labour days. In fact Corbyn has pushed Labour back to its old socialist roots after Milliband (the latest incarnation of cosmopolitan New labour) failed miserably. I think the youth vote is attracted to left wing, progressive positions (like it was attracted to Melenchon in France and Sanders in the US). Any real anti-Brexit vote should have gone to the LibDems -they were the only party that would have stopped Brexit. Corbyn has always been pro-Brexit. Ex-UKIPer working class Brexiters flocked to Labour. I think Corbyn's pro-Brexit stance allowed old UKIPers back and didn't hurt with the youth vote as his socialist chops had the bigger appeal with that group. If anti-Brexit sentiment was the prime mover of the youth vote, they would not have flocked so enthousiastically to pro-Brexit Corbyn.
The demographic movement has continued sharply since the Blair days. When Blair was elected the UK middle class was +20 Tory, and the working class roughly the same in Labour's favor. Today the middle class is essentially evenly split, and the working class vote has moved demonstrably towards the Tories.
As to the bolded ... the UK is a first-past-the-post system. That drives voters towards two parties ... Labour, and Tories. Again, I don't this outcome is nearly as anti-establishment as some are suggesting. The Tories gambled on the Brexit vote (blew up in their face), are following through on that outcome under May (who ran a pretty weak campaign), and they lost ground at the polls with the other major party making gains.
I'm also not sure why you are labeling Corbyn "pro-Brexit." Labour as a party was decidedly in the Remain camp, but Corbyn came under fire for presenting a muddled message on the referendum (though he did support Remaining publicly). And a significant majority of UKIP voters went conservative (roughly 60%), Labour picked up 18%. Now, Corbyn has said he is not going to fight Brexit at this point, but the UK is fucked over Brexit at this point no matter what.